A Draw in Name Only
By most accounts (and in accordance with most projections), Hillary and Obama roughly split the number of delegates up for grabs today. There are some indications that Hillary might take in over 100 more when all's said and done, but either way, there's is a more evenly-matched race than you'd expect to see at this point.
Nevertheless, you can make the case that any draw is really a victory for Hillary, at this point. As has often been mentioned, the Democrats have some unusual ways of awarding their delegates (not that Republicans don't, too, of course). And the 800-pound donkeys in the room are the superdelegates.
By most accounts, the superdelegates favor Hillary, and if this race goes all the way to the convention, they'll easily make the difference, totalling nearly 800 in all.
Of course, conventional wisdom has been turned on its head plenty throughout this campaign. But if it holds true, Hillary should be perfectly pleased to trade delegates with Obama the rest of the way, like a player taking an early lead in a game of chess, and swapping their way into a favorable endgame.
» February 6th, 2008
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